Tuesday, October 23, 2007

More on Moore's paradox

A while ago Moore's all-too-plausible “paradox” made me wonder about thoughts like “S is P, although I don’t believe that S is P,” or “I believe that S is P, although S is (probably) not P.” One might believe that S is P for lots of reasons, and yet also (upon reflection) bet that some of those reasons are wrong; whence one might even believe it most likely that S is not P, without that latter belief actually changing any of those former reasons. That is, surely one might rationally, even while actually believing that S is P, be rather surprised if S turned out to be P.

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